Northwind Financial · Growth Marketing

Acquisition Channel Mix

SYNTHETIC DATA
Data through 2026-07-31 · built 05:41 ET · 30 business days of history · generated by generate_fleet.py (seed 20260803)
Monitored by report-sentinel. Bands recomputed 06:40 ET daily, digest at 09:00 ET. Report id channel-mix Back to this morning's digest

Where the day's demand came from and what it cost. The mix panel is the point of this report: blended cost of acquisition can hold flat while the underlying source mix rotates completely, and the blended number will never tell you that happened.

Blended cost per lead
$39.99
-3.07% vs 20 day mean $41.26 · -0.90σ
Cost per qualified lead
$160.58
-7.04% vs 20 day mean $172.74 · -1.81σ
Paid share of leads
69.22%
-0.99pp vs 20 day mean 70.21% · -1.16σ

Control viewthe primary metric against its own trailing band

Daily readingTrailing mean2 sigma3 sigma
Blended cost per lead against its control band$36$38$41$44$46Jun 18Jun 24Jun 29Jul 02Jul 08Jul 13Jul 16Jul 21Jul 24Jul 29Jun 18: $41.63 (+0.27 sigma)Jun 22: $43.41 (+1.53 sigma)Jun 23: $40.08 (-0.84 sigma)Jun 24: $39.44 (-1.29 sigma)Jun 25: $40.81 (-0.32 sigma)Jun 26: $44.19 (+2.09 sigma)Jun 29: $41.08 (-0.13 sigma)Jun 30: $42.85 (+1.13 sigma)Jul 01: $42.85 (+1.13 sigma)Jul 02: $41.54 (+0.20 sigma)Jul 06: $42.06 (+0.57 sigma)Jul 07: $41.11 (-0.11 sigma)Jul 08: $36.41 (-3.45 sigma)Jul 09: $39.46 (-1.28 sigma)Jul 10: $40.24 (-0.72 sigma)Jul 13: $40.96 (-0.21 sigma)Jul 14: $43.52 (+1.61 sigma)Jul 15: $41.35 (+0.07 sigma)Jul 16: $39.82 (-1.02 sigma)Jul 17: $39.71 (-1.10 sigma)Jul 20: $40.09 (-0.83 sigma)Jul 21: $42.03 (+0.55 sigma)Jul 22: $44.53 (+2.33 sigma)Jul 23: $41.37 (+0.08 sigma)Jul 24: $41.44 (+0.13 sigma)Jul 27: $42.93 (+1.19 sigma)Jul 28: $42.46 (+0.86 sigma)Jul 29: $41.20 (-0.04 sigma)Jul 30: $42.92 (+1.18 sigma)Jul 31: $39.99 (-0.90 sigma)
Paid SearchPaid SocialAffiliateOrganicDirect MailBroadcast
Channel mix, 100% stacked0.0%25.0%50.0%75.0%100.0%Jun 18Jun 24Jun 29Jul 02Jul 08Jul 13Jul 16Jul 21Jul 24Jul 29BroadcastDirect MailOrganicAffiliatePaid SocialPaid Search27.64%27.30%15.12%13.57%9.70%6.67%
Cost per qualified lead
Cost per qualified lead, 30 business days$157$165$173$181$189Jun 18Jun 24Jun 29Jul 02Jul 08Jul 13Jul 16Jul 21Jul 24Jul 29Cost per qualified lead · Jun 18: $169.85Cost per qualified lead · Jun 22: $186.47Cost per qualified lead · Jun 23: $185.17Cost per qualified lead · Jun 24: $172.77Cost per qualified lead · Jun 25: $166.98Cost per qualified lead · Jun 26: $162.33Cost per qualified lead · Jun 29: $169.05Cost per qualified lead · Jun 30: $159.78Cost per qualified lead · Jul 01: $175.13Cost per qualified lead · Jul 02: $178.04Cost per qualified lead · Jul 06: $170.29Cost per qualified lead · Jul 07: $166.71Cost per qualified lead · Jul 08: $165.64Cost per qualified lead · Jul 09: $170.00Cost per qualified lead · Jul 10: $178.55Cost per qualified lead · Jul 13: $177.11Cost per qualified lead · Jul 14: $176.02Cost per qualified lead · Jul 15: $174.40Cost per qualified lead · Jul 16: $184.34Cost per qualified lead · Jul 17: $171.78Cost per qualified lead · Jul 20: $167.89Cost per qualified lead · Jul 21: $175.86Cost per qualified lead · Jul 22: $162.03Cost per qualified lead · Jul 23: $178.27Cost per qualified lead · Jul 24: $170.22Cost per qualified lead · Jul 27: $183.23Cost per qualified lead · Jul 28: $165.77Cost per qualified lead · Jul 29: $164.37Cost per qualified lead · Jul 30: $174.28Cost per qualified lead · Jul 31: $160.58

Band summarywhat the sentinel reads at 06:40 ET

Today against the band (trailing 20 business days, sigma from average moving range)
MetricLatestMeanSigma2 sigma bandZvs mean
Blended cost per lead$39.99$41.26$1.40$38.45 to $44.06-0.90σ-3.07%
Cost per qualified lead$160.58$172.74$6.71$159.33 to $186.15-1.81σ-7.04%
Paid share of leads69.22%70.21%0.85%68.50% to 71.92%-1.16σ-0.99pp

Mix detailcomposition versus its trailing shape

Composition against its trailing shape
SourceToday20 day meanShift
Paid Search27.64%30.89%-3.25pp
Paid Social27.30%21.91%+5.38pp
Affiliate15.12%16.76%-1.64pp
Organic13.57%14.24%-0.67pp
Direct Mail9.70%10.08%-0.38pp
Broadcast6.67%6.12%+0.55pp
Total variation distance5.93 share points

Daily registerthe grain underneath the cards

Daily register, last 15 business days (cells shaded by distance from the metric's own band)
DateBlended cost per leadCost per qualified leadPaid share of leads
2026-07-13 Mon$40.96$177.1170.97%
2026-07-14 Tue$43.52$176.0272.17%
2026-07-15 Wed$41.35$174.4070.58%
2026-07-16 Thu$39.82$184.3469.28%
2026-07-17 Fri$39.71$171.7870.43%
2026-07-20 Mon$40.09$167.8969.85%
2026-07-21 Tue$42.03$175.8671.40%
2026-07-22 Wed$44.53$162.0369.22%
2026-07-23 Thu$41.37$178.2770.39%
2026-07-24 Fri$41.44$170.2270.50%
2026-07-27 Mon$42.93$183.2371.36%
2026-07-28 Tue$42.46$165.7770.07%
2026-07-29 Wed$41.20$164.3770.69%
2026-07-30 Thu$42.92$174.2870.80%
2026-07-31 Fri$39.99$160.5869.22%
Measurement contract. Shares are of leads created, not of spend, so an unpaid source can gain share on a day nobody changed a budget. Cost figures are platform reported and settle for up to three business days.

What the bands claim. The shaded band is the trailing 20 business day mean of this series plus or minus two sigma, with sigma estimated from the average moving range. It describes how much this series normally moves. It is not a target, not a forecast, and not a statement that an out of band day was caused by anything in particular.