Northwind Financial · Servicing

Collections and Payments

SYNTHETIC DATA
Data through 2026-07-31 · built 05:41 ET · 30 business days of history · generated by generate_fleet.py (seed 20260803)
Monitored by report-sentinel. Bands recomputed 06:40 ET daily, digest at 09:00 ET. Report id collections Back to this morning's digest

Draft performance on the servicing book: what was attempted, what cleared, what came back, and what actually landed in the account. Return rate is the metric this report exists for, because it is the earliest place a processor problem becomes visible.

Draft attempts
6,875
-2.36% vs 20 day mean 7,041 · -0.57σ
Settlement rate
62.55%
-1.25pp vs 20 day mean 63.80% · -1.28σ
Return rate
3.93%
+0.48pp vs 20 day mean 3.46% · +3.41σ
Cash collected
$1,149,197
-7.66% vs 20 day mean $1,244,583 · -1.29σ
Average draft
$178.89
+1.12% vs 20 day mean $176.91 · +0.43σ

Control viewthe primary metric against its own trailing band

Daily readingTrailing mean2 sigma3 sigma
Return rate against its control band2.9%3.2%3.5%3.7%4.0%Jun 18Jun 24Jun 29Jul 02Jul 08Jul 13Jul 16Jul 21Jul 24Jul 29Jun 18: 3.15% (-2.24 sigma)Jun 22: 3.21% (-1.76 sigma)Jun 23: 3.18% (-2.02 sigma)Jun 24: 3.56% (+0.74 sigma)Jun 25: 3.19% (-1.96 sigma)Jun 26: 3.15% (-2.23 sigma)Jun 29: 2.99% (-3.36 sigma)Jun 30: 3.38% (-0.59 sigma)Jul 01: 3.52% (+0.47 sigma)Jul 02: 3.57% (+0.81 sigma)Jul 06: 3.42% (-0.24 sigma)Jul 07: 3.34% (-0.85 sigma)Jul 08: 3.37% (-0.60 sigma)Jul 09: 3.38% (-0.53 sigma)Jul 10: 3.36% (-0.71 sigma)Jul 13: 3.52% (+0.45 sigma)Jul 14: 3.55% (+0.66 sigma)Jul 15: 3.47% (+0.05 sigma)Jul 16: 3.62% (+1.14 sigma)Jul 17: 3.38% (-0.58 sigma)Jul 20: 3.42% (-0.29 sigma)Jul 21: 3.79% (+2.35 sigma)Jul 22: 3.49% (+0.24 sigma)Jul 23: 3.14% (-2.32 sigma)Jul 24: 3.18% (-1.98 sigma)Jul 27: 3.56% (+0.73 sigma)Jul 28: 3.48% (+0.17 sigma)Jul 29: 3.69% (+1.66 sigma)Jul 30: 3.44% (-0.15 sigma)Jul 31: 3.93% (+3.41 sigma)
Settlement rate
Settlement rate, 30 business days61.0%62.2%63.4%64.6%65.8%Jun 18Jun 24Jun 29Jul 02Jul 08Jul 13Jul 16Jul 21Jul 24Jul 29Settlement rate · Jun 18: 64.60%Settlement rate · Jun 22: 64.33%Settlement rate · Jun 23: 63.87%Settlement rate · Jun 24: 65.40%Settlement rate · Jun 25: 64.77%Settlement rate · Jun 26: 65.34%Settlement rate · Jun 29: 63.72%Settlement rate · Jun 30: 64.52%Settlement rate · Jul 01: 63.86%Settlement rate · Jul 02: 63.15%Settlement rate · Jul 06: 64.68%Settlement rate · Jul 07: 63.76%Settlement rate · Jul 08: 64.97%Settlement rate · Jul 09: 64.17%Settlement rate · Jul 10: 62.45%Settlement rate · Jul 13: 61.38%Settlement rate · Jul 14: 64.78%Settlement rate · Jul 15: 64.36%Settlement rate · Jul 16: 63.38%Settlement rate · Jul 17: 63.77%Settlement rate · Jul 20: 63.83%Settlement rate · Jul 21: 64.63%Settlement rate · Jul 22: 63.83%Settlement rate · Jul 23: 63.47%Settlement rate · Jul 24: 64.88%Settlement rate · Jul 27: 65.40%Settlement rate · Jul 28: 62.87%Settlement rate · Jul 29: 63.74%Settlement rate · Jul 30: 62.56%Settlement rate · Jul 31: 62.55%

Band summarywhat the sentinel reads at 06:40 ET

Today against the band (trailing 20 business days, sigma from average moving range)
MetricLatestMeanSigma2 sigma bandZvs mean
Draft attempts6,8757,0412926,457 to 7,625-0.57σ-2.36%
Settlement rate62.55%63.80%0.98%61.84% to 65.76%-1.28σ-1.25pp
Return rate3.93%3.46%0.14%3.18% to 3.74%+3.41σ+0.48pp
Cash collected$1,149,197$1,244,583$74,153$1,096,277 to $1,392,889-1.29σ-7.66%
Average draft$178.89$176.91$4.60$167.70 to $186.12+0.43σ+1.12%

Daily registerthe grain underneath the cards

Daily register, last 15 business days (cells shaded by distance from the metric's own band)
DateDraft attemptsSettlement rateReturn rateCash collectedAverage draft
2026-07-13 Mon6,82761.38%3.52%$1,434,021$180.77
2026-07-14 Tue7,05464.78%3.55%$1,236,921$178.99
2026-07-15 Wed7,30764.36%3.47%$1,148,303$187.01
2026-07-16 Thu7,42663.38%3.62%$1,298,701$169.89
2026-07-17 Fri6,81863.77%3.38%$1,233,586$172.06
2026-07-20 Mon7,14063.83%3.42%$1,286,322$177.64
2026-07-21 Tue7,08364.63%3.79%$1,205,886$176.02
2026-07-22 Wed7,32463.83%3.49%$1,344,695$177.99
2026-07-23 Thu6,93563.47%3.14%$1,292,736$167.93
2026-07-24 Fri6,79664.88%3.18%$1,180,939$174.89
2026-07-27 Mon7,19565.40%3.56%$1,224,062$179.30
2026-07-28 Tue7,60162.87%3.48%$1,215,134$180.74
2026-07-29 Wed6,89563.74%3.69%$1,088,107$177.59
2026-07-30 Thu7,10562.56%3.44%$1,225,827$181.69
2026-07-31 Fri6,87562.55%3.93%$1,149,197$178.89
Measurement contract. Returns are recorded on the day the return posts, not the day the draft was attempted, so a single processing incident shows as one spike rather than a spread. Cash collected is gross of reversals.

What the bands claim. The shaded band is the trailing 20 business day mean of this series plus or minus two sigma, with sigma estimated from the average moving range. It describes how much this series normally moves. It is not a target, not a forecast, and not a statement that an out of band day was caused by anything in particular.