Northwind Financial · Sales Operations

Enrollment Pipeline and Aging

SYNTHETIC DATA
Data through 2026-07-31 · built 05:41 ET · 30 business days of history · generated by generate_fleet.py (seed 20260803)
Monitored by report-sentinel. Bands recomputed 06:40 ET daily, digest at 09:00 ET. Report id pipeline Back to this morning's digest

Open pipeline, what entered it, and how long it has been sitting. Aging is carried next to value on purpose: a pipeline that grows only because nothing closes is a worse read than a pipeline that shrinks.

Open pipeline
$64.03M
+1.80% vs 20 day mean $62.90M · +1.12σ
New opportunities
625
+0.47% vs 20 day mean 622 · +0.07σ
Stalled past 14 days
77
+12.08% vs 20 day mean 69 · +1.29σ
Average stage age
6.03d
-4.27% vs 20 day mean 6.30d · -1.20σ
Win rate
24.18%
+0.02pp vs 20 day mean 24.17% · +0.02σ

Control viewthe primary metric against its own trailing band

Daily readingTrailing mean2 sigma3 sigma
Open pipeline against its control band$59.2M$61.1M$62.9M$64.7M$66.6MJun 18Jun 24Jun 29Jul 02Jul 08Jul 13Jul 16Jul 21Jul 24Jul 29Jun 18: $64.36M (+1.44 sigma)Jun 22: $63.52M (+0.62 sigma)Jun 23: $60.92M (-1.94 sigma)Jun 24: $62.34M (-0.55 sigma)Jun 25: $62.36M (-0.53 sigma)Jun 26: $61.15M (-1.72 sigma)Jun 29: $61.65M (-1.22 sigma)Jun 30: $62.91M (+0.02 sigma)Jul 01: $61.92M (-0.96 sigma)Jul 02: $60.17M (-2.68 sigma)Jul 06: $62.66M (-0.23 sigma)Jul 07: $65.12M (+2.18 sigma)Jul 08: $63.44M (+0.54 sigma)Jul 09: $63.35M (+0.44 sigma)Jul 10: $62.91M (+0.02 sigma)Jul 13: $64.60M (+1.68 sigma)Jul 14: $61.83M (-1.05 sigma)Jul 15: $62.64M (-0.25 sigma)Jul 16: $61.70M (-1.18 sigma)Jul 17: $62.63M (-0.26 sigma)Jul 20: $62.50M (-0.39 sigma)Jul 21: $62.89M (-0.01 sigma)Jul 22: $62.70M (-0.19 sigma)Jul 23: $63.59M (+0.68 sigma)Jul 24: $62.98M (+0.09 sigma)Jul 27: $64.45M (+1.53 sigma)Jul 28: $61.91M (-0.97 sigma)Jul 29: $62.62M (-0.27 sigma)Jul 30: $63.22M (+0.32 sigma)Jul 31: $64.03M (+1.12 sigma)
Win rate
Win rate, 30 business days20.6%22.0%23.3%24.7%26.0%Jun 18Jun 24Jun 29Jul 02Jul 08Jul 13Jul 16Jul 21Jul 24Jul 29Win rate · Jun 18: 23.76%Win rate · Jun 22: 22.62%Win rate · Jun 23: 21.09%Win rate · Jun 24: 23.32%Win rate · Jun 25: 22.81%Win rate · Jun 26: 25.59%Win rate · Jun 29: 23.92%Win rate · Jun 30: 23.57%Win rate · Jul 01: 23.58%Win rate · Jul 02: 24.96%Win rate · Jul 06: 23.65%Win rate · Jul 07: 22.44%Win rate · Jul 08: 24.59%Win rate · Jul 09: 24.71%Win rate · Jul 10: 24.57%Win rate · Jul 13: 22.63%Win rate · Jul 14: 23.59%Win rate · Jul 15: 23.55%Win rate · Jul 16: 25.22%Win rate · Jul 17: 24.81%Win rate · Jul 20: 24.74%Win rate · Jul 21: 22.86%Win rate · Jul 22: 24.23%Win rate · Jul 23: 23.99%Win rate · Jul 24: 23.99%Win rate · Jul 27: 24.44%Win rate · Jul 28: 24.78%Win rate · Jul 29: 24.01%Win rate · Jul 30: 25.58%Win rate · Jul 31: 24.18%

Band summarywhat the sentinel reads at 06:40 ET

Today against the band (trailing 20 business days, sigma from average moving range)
MetricLatestMeanSigma2 sigma bandZvs mean
Open pipeline$64.03M$62.90M$1.02M$60.86M to $64.93M+1.12σ+1.80%
New opportunities62562244533 to 711+0.07σ+0.47%
Stalled past 14 days7769656 to 82+1.29σ+12.08%
Average stage age6.03d6.30d0.22d5.85d to 6.75d-1.20σ-4.27%
Win rate24.18%24.17%0.78%22.61% to 25.72%+0.02σ+0.02pp

Daily registerthe grain underneath the cards

Daily register, last 15 business days (cells shaded by distance from the metric's own band)
DateOpen pipelineNew opportunitiesStalled past 14 daysAverage stage ageWin rate
2026-07-13 Mon$64.60M663746.51d22.63%
2026-07-14 Tue$61.83M651776.22d23.59%
2026-07-15 Wed$62.64M622606.30d23.55%
2026-07-16 Thu$61.70M623526.26d25.22%
2026-07-17 Fri$62.63M555725.97d24.81%
2026-07-20 Mon$62.50M633635.93d24.74%
2026-07-21 Tue$62.89M610686.30d22.86%
2026-07-22 Wed$62.70M601636.28d24.23%
2026-07-23 Thu$63.59M578726.26d23.99%
2026-07-24 Fri$62.98M563786.36d23.99%
2026-07-27 Mon$64.45M724755.79d24.44%
2026-07-28 Tue$61.91M622666.79d24.78%
2026-07-29 Wed$62.62M589716.69d24.01%
2026-07-30 Thu$63.22M625676.41d25.58%
2026-07-31 Fri$64.03M625776.03d24.18%
Measurement contract. Open pipeline is enrolled debt at stage weighting, not booked revenue, and it is a stock rather than a flow, so day over day movement is small by construction. Stage age resets on any stage change, including a move backward.

What the bands claim. The shaded band is the trailing 20 business day mean of this series plus or minus two sigma, with sigma estimated from the average moving range. It describes how much this series normally moves. It is not a target, not a forecast, and not a statement that an out of band day was caused by anything in particular.